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Bayse is a prediction market for sports, politics, finance, and culture in Nigeria and across Africa.

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Prediction markets involve financial risk—only trade with funds you can afford to lose. Bayse does not provide investment or financial advice. All market outcomes are resolved transparently using publicly verifiable sources. Participation is restricted to individuals 18 years and older and may be limited in some jurisdictions. Please review our Terms of Service, Privacy Policy, and Prohibition Policy before using the platform.
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Economy

Will Nigeria Reach 2.0 mbpd Combined Crude + Condensate Production in Q3 2026?

1 of 6

Rules · This market resolves as Yes if the official monthly production status report published by the NUPRC reports that the "Total Average Daily Production (Crude Oil + Condensate)" for any single calendar month within Q3 2026 (July, August, or September 2026) equals or exceeds 2,000,000 barrels per day (2.0 mbpd).

This market resolves as No if the official NUPRC monthly reports for July, August, and September 2026 all reflect a total average daily production of strictly less than 2,000,000 barrels per day.

This Market resolves based on the official "Crude Oil and Condensate Production Status Report" published monthly on the official NUPRC portal (https://www.nuprc.gov.ng/reports/oil-production-report). In the case of revisions, the initial published monthly status report for the respective month will serve as the ground truth. A consensus of credible media reports will also serve as secondary sources.

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47 Trades₦68.6kEnds by outcome

Nigeria 2027 Elections

Candidates, forecasts, news and live results

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Nigeria 2027 Elections: candidates, forecasts and live results
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Market avatar for MPC Decision in November, 2026?

MPC Decision in November, 2026?

Maintain Rates

Yes -

₦32

No -

₦68

Cut 50 BPS

Yes -

₦32

No -

₦68

Increase Rates

Yes -

₦23

No -

₦77

13 Trades

Market avatar for Will Nigeria Reach 2.0 mbpd Combined Crude + Condensate Production in Q3 2026?

Will Nigeria Reach 2.0 mbpd Combined Crude + Condensate Production in Q3 2026?

Will Nigeria Reach 2.0 mbpd Combined Crude + Condensate Production in Q3 2026?

₦1K

₦4K

₦1K

₦1K

47 Trades

Market avatar for Will Nigeria’s Gross External Reserves Cross $56.5 Billion Before Q4 2026 Ends?

Will Nigeria’s Gross External Reserves Cross $56.5 Billion Before Q4 2026 Ends?

Will Nigeria’s Gross External Reserves Cross $56.5 Billion Before Q4 2026 Ends?

₦1K

₦2K

₦1K

₦2K

11 Trades

Market avatar for South Africa's Inflation Rate in 2026?

South Africa's Inflation Rate in 2026?

>5.0%

Yes -

₦61

No -

₦55

4.7-5.0%

Yes -

₦41

No -

₦75

4.4-4.7%

Yes -

₦10

No -

₦92

8 Trades

Market avatar for Will the Minimum Wage be increased in 2026?

Will the Minimum Wage be increased in 2026?

Will the Minimum Wage be increased in 2026?

₦1K

₦4K

₦1K

₦1K

156 Trades

Market avatar for What Will Nigeria’s Full-Year 2026 GDP Growth Rate Be?

What Will Nigeria’s Full-Year 2026 GDP Growth Rate Be?

3.5% – 4.5%

Yes -

₦49

No -

₦51

More Than 4.5%

Yes -

₦33

No -

₦67

Less Than 3.5%

Yes -

₦18

No -

₦82

127 Trades